Should buyers wait for another 2008 recession to buy?

The Orange County Real Estate market has softened and sales volumes are stagnant.  According to the OC Register, CoreLogic homebuying stats show 2019’s first six months were Orange County’s slowest-selling first half in over 8 years, since just after the Great Recession ended.  Quarter 2 reflects a 13% drop in home sales from 2018.  Many expect that Quarter 3 will show an even larger drop.   This indicates that home prices are high and due for a correction, which means opportunity is on the horizon.

A component of this slowdown is the trade war between the United States and China as new tariffs lead businesses to scale back on investing and hiring. See Trump’s China tariffs are already hitting the housing industry. Furthermore, Chinese cash that previously flowed into Southern California’s economy, driving up real estate, could dry up.   

Although the nature of real estate is cyclical and we may incur a standard recession, there is good news for buyers.   Economists have stated that even if there is another recession, the housing marketing will not bring about housing bargains like in 2008.  Specifically, “The 2008 recession didn’t cause the housing market to go into freefall. The housing market going into freefall caused the recession.” 

It would be a fairly standard recession that has nothing to do with mortgages or the housing market, and its severity is not expected to rival the one in 2008. An upcoming recession would also, encounter a housing market that’s almost the inverse of what it was in 2008: tight mortgage credit instead of loose mortgage credit, housing supply shortage instead of a housing surplus.

Also, keep in mind historic precedent: As far as home prices dropping in the wake of a recession, 2008 is the exception to the rule. During two mild recessions in the early 1980s, for example, home prices actually increased, just as they did in the early 2000s after the dot-com bust. Home prices are less responsive to recessions because housing is an absolute need, and because buyers tend to come from better financial situations that aren’t as damaged by a recession.

The 2008 Great Recession hit the housing market due to mortgage lenders issuing bad loans that were projected to fail and did.  Since then, lending guidelines have tightened up, consumers' best interest is standard practice and integrity is the name of the game. Therefore, waiting for prices to drop to 2008 prices is highly unlikely. 

It has been a buyer’s market in 2019, and we will continue to see a buyer’s market moving forward in 2019 through 2020

Thankful Thursday

Gratitude changes everything! When given the opportunity to work with for someone that puts all of their trust in you, it’s a game changer. I met this sweet Momma some years back as our husbands coached our boys soccer team together. We hit it off and continue to see each other on the fields and about town. I am so grateful to have met this wonderful family. When they contacted me to sell their house I was more than thrilled to get the opportunity to work alongside them in a different aspect other than our established friendship. Together we were able to get their house sold in 7 days and above list price!! Teamwork makes the dream work on and off the field.

Thankful Thursday

This kind & loving couple had to make room for the new addition to their family… so we worked together to sell their house and find them a new “NEST” for them to call home. With lots of trust and communication we were able to accomplish both! I’m so honored to be their Realtor. They are such amazing people and I know this house is where dreams came true for a loving and deserving family. Congratulations on everything!!

Thankful Thursday

What happens when you like the people you work with? You become friends!

There is nothing better than getting an opportunity to spend time working with people you enjoy being around. I am very grateful to have been able to help one of my favorite families find their beautiful home and be apart of something so special!

Thankful Thursday

Having young kids AND having to sell your house can be super stressful, but with good communication and teamwork it doesn’t have to be. The OC Nest is thankful to have such wonderful clients to partner with, so together we can alleviate unnecessary stress and focus on the goal of getting the most money off the table for our Sellers!

When experience matters...

Sometimes homebuyers need to sell first. In these circumstances it is important that you work with someone that is experienced to handle coordinating concurrent closings. In this case, we sold their home in 4 days $16,000 above list price and found them a new home, and closed concurrently $15,000 under list price.

Sell & Buy SMART with The OC Nest.

Tuesday Trends

This weekend Fall arrives. How will you greet the season?

Just Listed ...73 Ashdale Irvine

Premier corner lot location boasting 4 spacious bedrooms (optional den/office), 4 bath, conservatory, tech loft and tons of stylish upgrades throughout offering comfortable living space for everyone making this model-like home highly desirable. Conveniently located nearby shopping, recreation, community amenities and award winning schools within walking distance. This pristine home is a rare opportunity. Bring your luck Buyers! HURRY this won't last!

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Simply Stated. Which style is your favorite...minimalist, farmhouse or modern midcentury??

Tueday Trends

Cocktail Pools...the name alone is inviting!

Tuesday Trends

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The OC Nest is excited to be a nominee for the Orange County Business Journal’s 2018 Excellence in Entrepreneurship Awards!

 The OC Nest is honored to be a nominee, and grateful to be part of such an excellent group of entrepreneurs.  All nominees are featured in the  Orange County Business Journal’s Excellence in Entrepreneurship Awards Supplement. The OC Nest is excited to be a nominee for the Orange County Business Journal’s 2018 Excellence in Entrepreneurship Awards!

The OC Nest congratulates all of the OCBJ’s 2018 Excellence in Entrepreneurship Award nominees, including Laurie Rowen and Erin Giglia of Montage Legal Group.

Click here to see the Orange County Business Journal’s Excellence in Entrepreneurship Awards Supplement.

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